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Just Passing Through
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Missing since: 31 Dec 2009
Notes left: 143
Last seen at: Lebanon, Pennsylvania
It's hard to say at this point. Clearly, it bombed in the US. It only got to 10 million on Friday, and horror movies are incredibly front-loaded so it'll drop pretty fast. Especially when you consider that Halloween is over.

BUT, there are still DVD/Blu Ray sales and foreign box office to consider. If it sells well in the home market it will undo some of the damage from the US box office. And 3D movies are very popular in foreign countries, so (assuming it gets theatrical releases elsewhere... I haven't seen any release dates yet) it could make decent money overseas.

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Historical Society Historian
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 12 Oct 2009
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It made half of its budget back in a single day. That's not a bomb.

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Moderator
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 21 Jul 2003
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Bassett: "Hey, guys, we only lost HALF our money!"

Konami: "Yay!!!!"

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Historical Society Historian
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 12 Oct 2009
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Many films don't make back their budget during opening weekend. There's a reason DVDs are pushed so hard by film companies.

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Just Passing Through
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 27 Jan 2011
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It's currently at 18,000,000$ revenue.

Add in money to be made in the coming weeks + DVD sales and they've made profit.

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My Bestsellers Clerk
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 03 Jan 2011
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Last seen at: Nails Reach, UK
My local cinema went from showing it twice a week to twice a night so it must be doing something right.
To compare Paranormal Activity is only showing once a night.

More and more films are failing to math box office with budget but only about one third of a films revenue is made from the box office. Much more is made from DVD's and selling the rights to TV. So for the film to have made 90% in under 2 weeks that is very good.

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Just Passing Through
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Missing since: 31 Dec 2009
Notes left: 143
Last seen at: Lebanon, Pennsylvania
Garmonbozey wrote:
It's currently at 18,000,000$ revenue.

Add in money to be made in the coming weeks + DVD sales and they've made profit.



Um, it's at $11.6 million counting Friday. It'll be lucky to reach $13 million by the end of the weekend.

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Historical Society Historian
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 12 Oct 2009
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KoRn_Child wrote:
Garmonbozey wrote:
It's currently at 18,000,000$ revenue.

Add in money to be made in the coming weeks + DVD sales and they've made profit.



Um, it's at $11.6 million counting Friday. It'll be lucky to reach $13 million by the end of the weekend.


11.6 is domestic-only. The original quote includes foreign distribution, and if Box Office Mojo is to be believed, the movie's just broken through its budget and is now profiting.

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Just Passing Through
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Missing since: 07 Oct 2012
Notes left: 36
Yep, it made $20,428,212 worldwide, according to Mojo.


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Rosewater Park Attendant
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 18 Apr 2009
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It's dropped quite slowly for a horror film so far, likely due to the staggered release and the fact that the horror nuts have seen Paranormal Activity and Sinister now and are catching up on SH. I mean, the most recent Halloween films got released in August so as not to compete with SAW.

So it's made back its budget in the theatrical run, and next up is rental and DVD sales, which are particularly strong in the horror genre, moreso now than ever. There's still more than enough possibility of a third film.

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Historical Society Historian
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 12 Oct 2009
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DistantJ wrote:
It's dropped quite slowly for a horror film so far, likely due to the staggered release and the fact that the horror nuts have seen Paranormal Activity and Sinister now and are catching up on SH. I mean, the most recent Halloween films got released in August so as not to compete with SAW.

So it's made back its budget in the theatrical run, and next up is rental and DVD sales, which are particularly strong in the horror genre, moreso now than ever. There's still more than enough possibility of a third film.


Precisely. Hopefully we'll get one!

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Gravedigger
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Missing since: 13 Aug 2006
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I read somwhere that a film has to make twice it's budget in order to be considered profitable. Someone may have to confirm this as I'm not totally sure (also not sure what it's budge was) but I still think that the movie has a chance to make enough money for a sequel to be considered. And I imagine it could be popular when it's released on video.

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Historical Society Historian
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 12 Oct 2009
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Fevered Dream wrote:
I read somwhere that a film has to make twice it's budget in order to be considered profitable. Someone may have to confirm this as I'm not totally sure (also not sure what it's budge was) but I still think that the movie has a chance to make enough money for a sequel to be considered. And I imagine it could be popular when it's released on video.


As has been said before, its budget was approximately $20 million. Since it was released just over a week ago, it's made its budget back if we combine domestic and overseas box office sales; this isn't taking into account DVD sales.

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My Bestsellers Clerk
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 03 Jan 2011
Notes left: 388
Last seen at: Nails Reach, UK
Fevered Dream wrote:
I read somwhere that a film has to make twice it's budget in order to be considered profitable. Someone may have to confirm this as I'm not totally sure (also not sure what it's budge was) but I still think that the movie has a chance to make enough money for a sequel to be considered. And I imagine it could be popular when it's released on video.


Yes this is true because cinema's keep about 40% off the box office tickets.

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Historical Society Historian
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 12 Oct 2009
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I'm fairly certain theatres get less than 40%; it's why they charge so much for concessions.

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Historical Society Historian
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 06 Jan 2004
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Last seen at: Naaarwich, UK
So right now BOM has the total at $20,408,482. SH:R needs to make roughly $40,000,000 to break even (most films spend the same amount on marketing as they do production - and SH:R was rather heavily marketed). I don't see the film making much more from cinemas and DVD/Blu-Ray sales will only take it so far.

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Just Passing Through
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 03 Feb 2010
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Last seen at: Tennessee
It could easily make 20 million in dvd sales and rentals(also including VOD, Netflix ect ect)....Thats where most films make their money anyway....


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Just Passing Through
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Missing since: 18 Sep 2010
Notes left: 50
looks like shr finished in 10th place at the box office for last week. its so sad that friggin wreck it ralph earned more $ opening weekend than both silent hills combined. what the hell has this world come to? and it lost to here comes the boom, like seriously?


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Historical Society Historian
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?
     
         
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Missing since: 12 Oct 2009
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eddieatemypizza wrote:
looks like shr finished in 10th place at the box office for last week. its so sad that friggin wreck it ralph earned more $ opening weekend than both silent hills combined. what the hell has this world come to? and it lost to here comes the boom, like seriously?


How is it sad? Wreck-It Ralph not only has the name of Disney behind it but also the advertising budget and mainstream appeal of having multiple video game characters cameoing in it as well as multiple celebrity voice actors. SHR's pretty much an indie horror flick trying to appeal to the mainstream but still attracting a rather niche audience; did you think it'd beat it?

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Just Passing Through
 Post subject: Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Missing since: 31 Dec 2009
Notes left: 143
Last seen at: Lebanon, Pennsylvania
Wreck-It Ralph's supposed to be good, too.

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