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Box Office Predictions ?
http://silenthillforum.com/viewtopic.php?f=42&t=25112
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Author:  KoRn_Child [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

It's hard to say at this point. Clearly, it bombed in the US. It only got to 10 million on Friday, and horror movies are incredibly front-loaded so it'll drop pretty fast. Especially when you consider that Halloween is over.

BUT, there are still DVD/Blu Ray sales and foreign box office to consider. If it sells well in the home market it will undo some of the damage from the US box office. And 3D movies are very popular in foreign countries, so (assuming it gets theatrical releases elsewhere... I haven't seen any release dates yet) it could make decent money overseas.

Author:  Yuki [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

It made half of its budget back in a single day. That's not a bomb.

Author:  Droo [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Bassett: "Hey, guys, we only lost HALF our money!"

Konami: "Yay!!!!"

Author:  Yuki [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Many films don't make back their budget during opening weekend. There's a reason DVDs are pushed so hard by film companies.

Author:  Garmonbozey [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

It's currently at 18,000,000$ revenue.

Add in money to be made in the coming weeks + DVD sales and they've made profit.

Author:  Silent_Storm [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

My local cinema went from showing it twice a week to twice a night so it must be doing something right.
To compare Paranormal Activity is only showing once a night.

More and more films are failing to math box office with budget but only about one third of a films revenue is made from the box office. Much more is made from DVD's and selling the rights to TV. So for the film to have made 90% in under 2 weeks that is very good.

Author:  KoRn_Child [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Garmonbozey wrote:
It's currently at 18,000,000$ revenue.

Add in money to be made in the coming weeks + DVD sales and they've made profit.



Um, it's at $11.6 million counting Friday. It'll be lucky to reach $13 million by the end of the weekend.

Author:  Yuki [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

KoRn_Child wrote:
Garmonbozey wrote:
It's currently at 18,000,000$ revenue.

Add in money to be made in the coming weeks + DVD sales and they've made profit.



Um, it's at $11.6 million counting Friday. It'll be lucky to reach $13 million by the end of the weekend.


11.6 is domestic-only. The original quote includes foreign distribution, and if Box Office Mojo is to be believed, the movie's just broken through its budget and is now profiting.

Author:  Numinex [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Yep, it made $20,428,212 worldwide, according to Mojo.

Author:  DistantJ [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

It's dropped quite slowly for a horror film so far, likely due to the staggered release and the fact that the horror nuts have seen Paranormal Activity and Sinister now and are catching up on SH. I mean, the most recent Halloween films got released in August so as not to compete with SAW.

So it's made back its budget in the theatrical run, and next up is rental and DVD sales, which are particularly strong in the horror genre, moreso now than ever. There's still more than enough possibility of a third film.

Author:  Yuki [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

DistantJ wrote:
It's dropped quite slowly for a horror film so far, likely due to the staggered release and the fact that the horror nuts have seen Paranormal Activity and Sinister now and are catching up on SH. I mean, the most recent Halloween films got released in August so as not to compete with SAW.

So it's made back its budget in the theatrical run, and next up is rental and DVD sales, which are particularly strong in the horror genre, moreso now than ever. There's still more than enough possibility of a third film.


Precisely. Hopefully we'll get one!

Author:  Fevered Dream [ 04 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

I read somwhere that a film has to make twice it's budget in order to be considered profitable. Someone may have to confirm this as I'm not totally sure (also not sure what it's budge was) but I still think that the movie has a chance to make enough money for a sequel to be considered. And I imagine it could be popular when it's released on video.

Author:  Yuki [ 05 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Fevered Dream wrote:
I read somwhere that a film has to make twice it's budget in order to be considered profitable. Someone may have to confirm this as I'm not totally sure (also not sure what it's budge was) but I still think that the movie has a chance to make enough money for a sequel to be considered. And I imagine it could be popular when it's released on video.


As has been said before, its budget was approximately $20 million. Since it was released just over a week ago, it's made its budget back if we combine domestic and overseas box office sales; this isn't taking into account DVD sales.

Author:  Silent_Storm [ 05 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Fevered Dream wrote:
I read somwhere that a film has to make twice it's budget in order to be considered profitable. Someone may have to confirm this as I'm not totally sure (also not sure what it's budge was) but I still think that the movie has a chance to make enough money for a sequel to be considered. And I imagine it could be popular when it's released on video.


Yes this is true because cinema's keep about 40% off the box office tickets.

Author:  Yuki [ 05 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

I'm fairly certain theatres get less than 40%; it's why they charge so much for concessions.

Author:  Numb Body01 [ 06 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

So right now BOM has the total at $20,408,482. SH:R needs to make roughly $40,000,000 to break even (most films spend the same amount on marketing as they do production - and SH:R was rather heavily marketed). I don't see the film making much more from cinemas and DVD/Blu-Ray sales will only take it so far.

Author:  resevil80 [ 06 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

It could easily make 20 million in dvd sales and rentals(also including VOD, Netflix ect ect)....Thats where most films make their money anyway....

Author:  eddieatemypizza [ 06 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

looks like shr finished in 10th place at the box office for last week. its so sad that friggin wreck it ralph earned more $ opening weekend than both silent hills combined. what the hell has this world come to? and it lost to here comes the boom, like seriously?

Author:  Yuki [ 06 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

eddieatemypizza wrote:
looks like shr finished in 10th place at the box office for last week. its so sad that friggin wreck it ralph earned more $ opening weekend than both silent hills combined. what the hell has this world come to? and it lost to here comes the boom, like seriously?


How is it sad? Wreck-It Ralph not only has the name of Disney behind it but also the advertising budget and mainstream appeal of having multiple video game characters cameoing in it as well as multiple celebrity voice actors. SHR's pretty much an indie horror flick trying to appeal to the mainstream but still attracting a rather niche audience; did you think it'd beat it?

Author:  KoRn_Child [ 06 Nov 2012 ]
Post subject:  Re: Box Office Predictions ?

Wreck-It Ralph's supposed to be good, too.

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