1- We all know Murphy is in prison principally for murder along possibly other things. We know it since the second trailer where the guy says "murder is a mortal sin, you go to hell for murder"
2- The code on Murphy's prison outfit is the one assigned to child murderers (we discussed this last year)
3- We've seen children many times in the trailer, a boy and a girl. They must be to Murphy what Josh was to Alex.
4- In the TGS2011 trailer, for a brief moment, we could see something killing (choking maybe...) a kid. I think it was Murphy's punisher, who represented his murder.
5- In the TGS2011 trailer we've seen blood in what seemed to be a kitchen... Murphy's house?
6- In the TGS2011 trailer, we"ve heard the boy shouting "shut the hell up!" to Murphy. Maybe it was a sign of the bad relation Murphy had with his kid
So that's pretty much it, I'm sure this is the main twist, they've shown us too much elements.
That, and I hope the story will keep the player guessing right up to the very end. I'm sure no-one, or very few, expected the twists at the end of SH2 and SM. I'm hoping for a well written and well presented story that isn't easily guessed, especially before the game is even out.
^I called SM with the first trailer, didn't see sh2 coming until it hit me in the face. I really hope Waltz was smart enough not to go with the twist suggested by the op, because unless it's pulled off in an absolutely incredible way the fan backlash from a stupid move like that will be immense.
Too cold to start a fire
I'm burning diesel, burning dinosaur bones
I'll take the river down to still water
And ride a pack of dogs
I think Hydra could be right on this one. I really hope that he isn't though, would be lame.
Dude being in prison for murder, kids in his Silent Hill version. Seems indeed kinda obvious. We'll see..
'Ahh!'
'Shouldn't you be at work?'
'Yes sir, Mr. Burns.'
'Well then. Go back to work, wherever it is you work, whoever you are.'
^ I sincerely hope you're right. Especially after the developers made such a fuss over wanting people to judge this game on its own merits and to not compare it to Silent Hill 2.
If they do end up just ripping off the Silent Hill 2, I think it'll be pretty funny/inexcusable.
Revenge was mentioned in the new trailer. Can't honestly remember if it was mentioned at all before.
Which would be a fantastic plot device in the series. It's a good way to play the light/dark of the main character. I'm sure he did something really terrible. Maybe someone killed his kid and/or wife so he found them and did some messed up things out of rage/revenge. You could feel sorry for him, understand where he's coming from and still be like "Murphy, settle down, you're kinda fucked up".
Sure as shit not saying any of this is true and it's hardly an overly educated theory. Just a minor guess.
Tom is pretty clever with his writing in Silent Hill and instead of a comic series that always gets cut down in issue size, he has a whole game to have a field day with. Even if the game itself is somehow balls, at least the story will make it worthwhile.
The kid Murphy is seeing is Murphy, his mom and possibly his sister were killed, probably with a hammer.
"Momma, look at me momma."
He took revenge on the murderer, or a person who he thought was the murderer so he ended up in jail.
"Revenge is a long, treacherous road, mister Pendelton, where do you suppose it ends?"
Not sure why Anne seems so hellbent on catching him, though. She seems like a total determinator form what I've seen in the trailers. I'm pretty sure she's the one screaming at Murphy to shut up, not the kid.
Murphy is a robot, but doesn't know it. He was created by Robot Dahlia sometime before SH1, but not activated and implanted with memories until sometime later by Howard Blackwood. Placing him in the prison and bringing him back to Silent Hill is part of Howard and nun woman's quest to prove that Rick Deckard is in fact a replicant.
I actually liked Hydra's theory. This actually leaves me disappointed.
I agree to some extent. However on a story-telling point of view I think it would be too predictable since we've already been through this in Homecoming and SH2. Plus, we'd also have to consider the amount of unwarranted(or maybe warranted?) backlash they'd get.
That said, I like Arsonist's theory too, and it seems pretty possible.